dataandoutdoors

Dan Shaffer's blog posts about statistics, data science, outdoor recreation, and rural Michigan.

Author: DanShaffer

  • March-May Northern Michigan Search Interest

    This is my search interest forecast for March-May. The main project page for this forecast, and corresponding background information, is linked at the bottom of this page. The winter low search interest was higher than forecasted for both peninsulas. For the Upper Peninsula, search interest was significantly higher than last winter and similar to the Read more

  • Winter

    Seasons don’t fear the ReaperNor do the wind, the sun, or the rain –Blue Oyster Cult It’s hard for post-industrial humans to take winter seriously. We spend more money to heat our homes. We complain on the way to the car. Sometimes we bundle up and go outside. While it’s not enough for most of Read more

  • Northern Michigan Search Interest Update

    Due to computer issues, the February-April search interest forecast will be delayed or cancelled until next month. I’m also going to work on my yearly updates for this model. These updates will be small. My updates are first to remove places with names where search interest is likely related to something other than places in Read more

  • January-March Northern Michigan Search Interest

    This is my search interest forecast for January-March. The main project page for this forecast, and corresponding background information, is linked at the bottom of this page. Search interest for December was higher than last year and higher than forecasted but lower than 2023. We seem to be getting more months in the last half Read more

  • Fall Harvest

    There is a time when leaves are fallin’The woods are gray the paths are oldThe snow will come when geese are callin’You need a fire against the cold -The Dillards As September and October reach Michigan, there is more food and resources in the forest than any other time of year. There’s fruits, nuts, roots, Read more

  • Michigan Outdoor Recreation Search Interest Summary

    This is a summary of my project analyzing Google search interest for 10 forms of outdoor recreation from inside Michigan: atving, boating, camping, fishing, hiking, kayaking, rving, hunting, skiing, and snowmobiling. I’ve also created models to provide short term forecasts for search interest. The main project page can be found at the link at the Read more

  • December-February Northern Michigan Search Interest

    This is my search interest forecast for December-February. The main project page for this forecast, and corresponding background information, is linked at the bottom of this page. Search interest for November was higher than last year and higher than forecasted. We seem to be getting more months in the last half of 2025 that are Read more

  • November-January Northern Michigan Search Interest

    This is my search interest forecast for November-January. The main project page for this forecast, and corresponding background information, is linked at the bottom of this page. Search interest for October was similar to last year. This was similar to forecasted for the Lower Peninsula and higher than forecasted for the Upper Peninsula. We seem Read more

  • Michigan Outdoor Recreation Installment 10

    This is my ninth installment for forecasting search interest for ten forms of outdoor recreation in Michigan. This is my last main installment for this project. Previously, I developed models for outdoor recreation in Michigan which are based on weather: maximum/minimum temperature, precipitation, and snow depth. This installment is about getting forecasts for these weather Read more

  • October-December Northern Michigan Search Interest

    This is my search interest forecast for October-December. The main project page for this forecast, and corresponding background information, is linked at the bottom of this page. Search interest for September continued to be lower than last year, especially for the Lower Peninsula. Both were very close to the forecast (though slightly higher). The peak Read more