This is my second model option for forecasting search interest for ten forms of outdoor recreation in Michigan. This option employs the same nonstationary model as model 1, but replaces the VAR model with a neural network for the stationary model. The hope was that this would allow more flexibility in the impact of weather… Read more

This is my sixth installment of my project looking at Google search interest for ten types of outdoor recreation in Michigan: atving, boating, camping, fishing, hiking, kayaking, rving, hunting, skiing, and snowmobiling. Previous installments were exploratory analysis of the data. This is my first attempt/option for fitting models to and forecasting the data series. I… Read more

This is the fifth installment of my outdoor recreation search interest project. This project investigates Google search interest from Michigan for 10 different outdoor recreation activities. The data is daily starting in 2021. This project was motivated by my Northern Michigan search interest projects as a companion project and a way to investigate underlying drivers… Read more

The purpose of this installment is to determine whether the search interest data introduced during the first two installments and the weather data introduced during the third installment are correlated. The general idea is that people will search for outdoor recreation search terms differently in some weather conditions than others. Note there are 10 search… Read more

This is the third installment of my look at Google search interest in 10 forms of outdoor recreation from within Michigan. This installment actually looks at four different weather variables for Michigan that I will later correlate with search interest–maximum temperature, minimum temperature, precipitation, and snow depth. Read more

In the first installment, I discussed the basic topic, data, trends, and correlations for this project. This project is to study and forecast trends for Google search interest from Michigan for 10 forms of outdoor recreation. I showed the historical trends for this data, which is sometimes trending upward or downwards and always shows various… Read more

This is the first installment of my new project, Michigan Outdoor Recreation Search Interest. This project will look at daily Google search interest from Michigan for 10 forms of outdoor recreation: atving, boating, camping, fishing, hiking, kayaking, rving, hunting, skiing, and snowmobiling. Search trends for these activities are likely related to the popularity and interest… Read more