dataandoutdoors

Dan Shaffer's blog posts about statistics, data science, outdoor recreation, and rural Michigan.

Northern Michigan Search Interest Forecast Nov-Jan 2024

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This is my forecast of Google search interest for places in Northern Michigan during the next three months.

I forecast the Upper Peninsula to have higher than normal search interest and the Lower Peninsula to have slightly lower than normal search interest.

This month, I have created several more figures that will help motivate future improvements to the forecasting model reducing forecast volatility and increasing the conceptual relationship between the forecasts and seasons/the weather.