Author: DanShaffer
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Michigan Outdoor Recreation Forecast April 17
This is my next forecast for Google search interest in Michigan for 10 forms of Outdoor Recreation. These are 14 day forecasts based on a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural network including variables for weather, recent search interest, time of year, day of week, and holidays. The main project page is pasted at the Read more
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Michigan Outdoor Recreation Forecast April 10
This is my first forecast for Google search interest in Michigan for 10 forms of Outdoor Recreation. These are 14 day forecasts based on a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural network including variables for weather, recent search interest, time of year, day of week, and holidays. The main project page is pasted at the Read more
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April-June Northern Michigan Search Interest
This is my search interest forecast for April-June. The main project page for this forecast, and corresponding background information, is linked at the bottom of this page. March was the last month of winter and search interest was similar to forecasted for both peninsulas. It was a little higher than forecasted, more so for the Read more
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The Hawk Kept Flying
There’s a Apache story about a man that woke up one morning and saw a hawk on the wind. Walked outside and never returned. After he died, he met his wife in the spirit world. She asked him why he never came home, he said “Well, the hawk kept flying.” –Samuel (“The Missing” 2003) I Read more
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Outdoor Recreation Search Interest Update
This is an update for my project where I forecast Google search interest for 10 forms of outdoor recreation in Michigan. The page for this project is pasted below. I also made some updates to the hyperparameters and settings of the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) models. This was to modify the keras syntax to Read more
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March-May Northern Michigan Search Interest
This is my search interest forecast for March-May. The main project page for this forecast, and corresponding background information, is linked at the bottom of this page. The winter low search interest was higher than forecasted for both peninsulas. For the Upper Peninsula, search interest was significantly higher than last winter and similar to the Read more
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Winter
Seasons don’t fear the ReaperNor do the wind, the sun, or the rain –Blue Oyster Cult It’s hard for post-industrial humans to take winter seriously. We spend more money to heat our homes. We complain on the way to the car. Sometimes we bundle up and go outside. While it’s not enough for most of Read more
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Northern Michigan Search Interest Update
Due to computer issues, the February-April search interest forecast will be delayed or cancelled until next month. I’m also going to work on my yearly updates for this model. These updates will be small. My updates are first to remove places with names where search interest is likely related to something other than places in Read more
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January-March Northern Michigan Search Interest
This is my search interest forecast for January-March. The main project page for this forecast, and corresponding background information, is linked at the bottom of this page. Search interest for December was higher than last year and higher than forecasted but lower than 2023. We seem to be getting more months in the last half Read more
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Fall Harvest
There is a time when leaves are fallin’The woods are gray the paths are oldThe snow will come when geese are callin’You need a fire against the cold -The Dillards As September and October reach Michigan, there is more food and resources in the forest than any other time of year. There’s fruits, nuts, roots, Read more